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Strategy; Correct Score; 0-0/1-1

UserPost

4:52 pm
March 9, 2010


SilkBC

Vancouver, Canada

Forum Moderator

posts 348

1

Post edited 11:01 pm – March 26, 2010 by SilkBC


Correct Score: 0-0/1-1
(Originaly posted by Adster on the Racing Traders forum)

Criteria:
  – Both teams as close in the odds as possible
  – 0-0 correct score 12s or higher
  – 1-1 correct score 7.2 o higher
  – 1-0 and 0-1 correct score prices as close together as possible (within 1-2 ticks)

Pre-Game:
  – Back the 0-0 for 1 unit
  – Back the 1-1 for 5 units

In-Play:
  – As long as there is no goal, do nothing; you will break even on the 0-0
  – After the first goal, wait a couple of minutes for the markets to settle, then trade out of the 1-1
  – Regardless of a goal or not, be sure to be out of all positions by HT
  – Note that if the first goal is an early goal (within first 5-10 mins), the 1-1 will actually go up, so you may have to take a loss, unless you want to wit for the 1-1 to come down (which can be about 20 mins)

Staking:
  – No more than 10% of bank
  – To figure out proper staking levels, take the total amount you are willing to risk and multiply it by 1/6 to get your "1 unit" and place this amount on the 0-0.  Place the rest on the 1-1.  By way of example, you want to risk no more than $30, so 1 unit would be:  $30 x (1/6) = $5.  So $5 would be put on 0-0 and $25 on 1-1.

Advanced Strategies and Variations:
(Can be added individually to the basic strategy or in conjunction with each other)
  1.) Cover the Any Unquoted ("AUQ") with a small amount to provide a bit of cover in the event of an early goal
  2.) In the event of an early goal, instead of trading out for a loss or waiting for the 1-1 price to come down, you can start to cover some of the other scores, thinking 2 goals ahead (if score is 1-0, cover 2-0, 2-1, 1-2, 3-0, 3-1).  As goals go in, lay off some of the higher score lines you have covered, and if necessary start backing additional score lines.  This is a *very* advanced strategy and not recommended for beginners.

11:04 pm
March 10, 2010


mistersad

Spain

Challenger Tour

posts 12

2

Hi SilkBC, I have never bothered that much with the CS as there are far too many possibilities to have everything under control, but I'll give it a try with this (simple enough for me ;)


Regarding the AUQ, how much do you mean bu a "small" amount? The 0-0 was already only 1 unit…

12:38 am
March 26, 2010


Billb

Ball Boy

posts 2

3

Can this be used on any match? Any special criteria?


I have tried a similiar method although it wernt explained in as much detail as here. Found it to be a struggle getting everything matched bit like ironing a shirt and cooking some super noodles all at the same time. Gonna keep trying with two quids anyway.

7:24 am
March 26, 2010


TradeShark

Worcester, UK

Owner

posts 1172

4

Bad idea,


You'll find that the 2 squids keep getting out of the pan. I'd try to master the noodles first.


Blink

"Successful people will do the things that unsuccessful people refuse to do" – Me, can't remember when.

11:00 pm
March 26, 2010


SilkBC

Vancouver, Canada

Forum Moderator

posts 348

5

Billb said:

Can this be used on any match? Any special criteria?


The criteria is in the first post.


-SilkBC

2:22 pm
March 28, 2010


pompano

Sweden

Grand Slammer

posts 79

6

Ok so I tried this on the Siena v Genoa game today

Prices pregame was as follow:

home: 2,8
away: 2,82
0-0: 12,5
1-1: 7,2
1-0: 10
0-1: 10,5
matched on correct score market: $20,000-ish


There was no scoring during the first half so I traded out at HT. What surprised me was that while the price on 0-0 shortened as planned, the price on 1-1 did not drift as much as I thought. (Weird?) The 1-1 went only from 7,2 to 8 at HT (staying at 7,2 for at least 32-33 minutes) while the 0-0 dropped steadily from 12 to around 5. (liquidity at HT was $76,000 matched on CS market and of that $8800 was on 1-1)

So I traded out for a 10% green at HT despite expecting to break even or take a small red.

Matches that fit the criteria for this strategy seem rare. Will follow them when opportunity is given.



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